Internal survey shows Hanna with tight lead in NY-24
By Maggie Haberman
POLITICO
In one of the most-watched House races in New York, an internal poll for the NRCC by pollster John McLaughlin shows GOPer Richard Hanna leading Democratic Rep. Mike Arcuri by 3 percentage points.
It’s an internal — and commissioned — survey, so those caveats apply. A recent public survey suggested Arcuri was ahead by 8 percentage points.
The McLaughlin numbers, taken over Wednesday and Thursday of last week of 300 voters in NY-24, shows Hanna at 46 percent, Arcuri at 43 percent and 11 percent undecided. The poll has a 5.6-percentage-point margin of error.
The race has been among the ones Republicans have had at the top of their priority list for months. It’s an economically depressed area and the anti-incumbent sentiment is running high.
The turnout model used by McLaughlin had 43 percent Republicans, 38 percent Democrats, 15 percent independent and 3 percent conservative.